Our server costs ~$56 per month to run. Please consider donating or becoming a Patron to help keep the site running. Help us gain new members by following us on Twitter and liking our page on Facebook!
Current time: April 28, 2024, 10:15 pm

Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
A set S is composed of 20 multi-colored objects
#17
RE: A set S is composed of 20 multi-colored objects
(March 21, 2020 at 8:19 pm)Abaddon_ire Wrote:
(March 21, 2020 at 4:57 pm)Mr Greene Wrote: In which case I would assume that the 4th selection would be non-blue as if the colour doesn't matter the answer is 1.

Within the parameters given, the answer cannot be 1. The colour matters by the definition of the question. 

If one were tasked with picking 4 objects from a set of 20 objects, then 1 would be a reasonable answer for the probability. Anyone could pick 4 from an arbitrary group of twenty objects given no further criteria. That is, however, not the task at hand. 

It is true that if one has already picked three blues, then the choice of the fourth is irrelevant at that point since three blues are already chosen. However, that is not the only possible scenario.

One cannot simply select a preferred scenario arbitrarily out of many scenarios and declare that to be the only scenario.

As posed, the colour DOES matter, since it matters whether one reaches into the imaginary bag/box/container/whatever and retrieves either a blue object or a not blue object.

If one selects the scenario that three blue objects have already been chosen, then the fourth object is irrelevant. Three blue objects have been chosen already. The criteria are satisfied. It matters not what colour the fourth one is.

But what if the first one is yellow, or red, or green, or any other colour?

Surely you can see that there are more possibilities, no?

The scenario specifies 3 blue objects are picked. If the fourth can be any colour including blue then no matter what position the 'any-colour' object is picked the chances are 20/20, 19/19, 18,18 or 17/17. in any case the the answer is 1 and multiplying that by the chances for the blue selections would be a pointless exercise.
The extra selection must therefore be 'not-blue' if the scenario has any purpose.
This would insert a (12/X) selection into the matrix with four permutations.
It seems similarly pointless if the object is returned to the pool before next draw.
Quote:I don't understand why you'd come to a discussion forum, and then proceed to reap from visibility any voice that disagrees with you. If you're going to do that, why not just sit in front of a mirror and pat yourself on the back continuously?
-Esquilax

Evolution - Adapt or be eaten.
Reply



Messages In This Thread
RE: A set S is composed of 20 multi-colored objects - by Mr Greene - March 21, 2020 at 8:31 pm

Possibly Related Threads...
Thread Author Replies Views Last Post
  Fractals and the Mandelbrot set Alex K 4 1855 August 13, 2017 at 12:13 pm
Last Post: zebo-the-fat



Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)