RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 13, 2016 at 2:36 pm
(This post was last modified: March 13, 2016 at 2:36 pm by Excited Penguin.)
(March 13, 2016 at 1:48 pm)robvalue Wrote: Of course, that's what probability is. It's about chances. It's not meant to guarantee anything. But you play the odds, if you prefer winning.
Not necessarily. In this case, I wouldn't. If there were more options involved, then I would consider switching on principle. As it is, though, I'm more comfortable trusting my instincts wherever they take me.