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Mafia Game Win%
May 15, 2018 at 10:48 am
So here's the rules of the game.
There are five Towns people and 4 Mafia Members
A random person is killed until one of the following conditions is met:
1) All the mafia is dead, which is a town win.
2) All the town is dead, in which mafia wins.
3) If there are ever 2 more mafia than town alive, mafia wins.
What are the odds of Town winning?
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RE: Mafia Game Win%
May 15, 2018 at 11:01 am
College Statistics class was boring. Didn't learn a thing that stuck with me.
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RE: Mafia Game Win%
May 15, 2018 at 11:16 am
I wrote a very quick and dirty python script to play 100,000 games and I got a town win % of 49.346%
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RE: Mafia Game Win%
May 15, 2018 at 12:39 pm
I got 49ish using the cheating non-mathy strategy as well. Definitely the perfect setup for that game. Nicely done on that front Tibs.
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RE: Mafia Game Win%
May 15, 2018 at 2:07 pm
I guess I didn't realize that this was effectively the most recent game of Popcorn Mafia. Nice that the numbers at least work out.