RE: Artificial Intelligence
July 22, 2015 at 5:38 pm
(This post was last modified: July 22, 2015 at 7:16 pm by The Grand Nudger.)
I dumped the above response to your previous posts in tags because it;s a bit of a tangent - and doesn't really require us to see eye to eye to discuss AI, or it's feasibility.
Let me see if I can rephrase the point I'm trying to express, based in good part on agreement rather than disagreement with what I understand to be your position.
-We need more processing power than we currently possess to achieve the sort of AI you're discussing, and moores law will only get us so far-. This is a fair summary of your main point, which we began discussing as it relates to AI, yes?
:Agreed entirely: One of the areas that biology, imo, has had a leg up in this regard is scale, brains are dense boards (I think I can float this one between you and I without too much trouble). Moores law may not yield an architecture of commensurate scale, density, or "count" (again, floating it between us) within a reasonable timeframe, if ever. However, we -know- for a fact that we don't need a 1 for 1 measure (nueral to digital, just as one example), because human beings can function, a human level of intelligence can manifest itself in us, with a -vast- reduction in the scale of our brains, the density of our "boards". The total count of nuerons. That means moores doesn't have to give us an architecture commensurate with a human brain to achieve a human level of intelligence, assuming there's a relationship here. I'm accepting the bar, in a hypothetical AI scenario, whereby we create a machine as a sort of mechanical simulation of a human brain, and accepting in that scenario that if we were to do so it could possess intelligence commensurate -to- a human being. I'm suggesting that whatever that number "x" is, it's a hell of alot lower than the total number of "x" we currently possess in our brains.
Does that help to clarify?
Regarding the shortfall between what we now possess in computing and that number "x", I couldn't help but see a big source of as yet untapped power on the chem side of our electrochem brains (continuing with the theme of the human brain and life in general as a rough working model for how we might create a machine intelligence). Even in the absence of neural architectures chemical computing appears to be able to provide effects generally considered to be indicative of consciousness and intelligence, though nowhere near what we present in it's totality, obvs. Que the masters of organic chemistry with half a billion years of dev -already- behind them, eh?
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