RE: Supreme Court Same Sex Marriage Argumet
August 3, 2015 at 5:18 pm
(This post was last modified: August 3, 2015 at 5:22 pm by Anima.)
(August 3, 2015 at 3:45 pm)Aristocatt Wrote: Lets do some math to explain why you are wrong.
If Europe lost 50 million people, and that was 60% of its population, then Europe had around 83 Million People.
If the Population of the 8 most populated European countries(not including Russia) is greater than the world population, that means that the total population Growth of Europe since just before the black death is atleast:
450-83
Which means the European population has grown by 367 Million.
367 Million is more than 7x the amount of people that you are claiming died in the black plague.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consequenc...lack_Death
Europe Alone:
"Figures for the death toll vary widely by area and from source to source as new research and discoveries come to light. It killed an estimated 75–430 million people in the 14th century.[4][5][6] According to medieval historian Philip Daileader in 2007:
" The trend of recent research is pointing to a figure more like 45% to 50% of the European population dying during a four-year period. There is a fair amount of geographic variation. In Mediterranean Europe and Italy, the South of France and Spain, where plague ran for about four years consecutively, it was probably closer to 75% to 80% of the population. In Germany and England it was probably closer to 20%.[7]"
China Alone:
Estimates of the demographic impact of the plague in Asia are based on both population figures during this time and estimates of the disease's toll on population centers. The initial outbreak of plague in the Chinese province of Hubei in 1334 claimed up to ninety percent of the population.[citation needed] China had several epidemics and famines from 1200 to the 1350s and its population decreased from an estimated 125 million to 65 million in the late 14th century.
Middle East alone:
Surviving records in some cities reveal a devastating number of deaths. The 1348 outbreak in Gaza left an estimated 10,000 people dead, while Aleppo recorded a death rate of 500 a day during the same year. In Damascus, at the disease's peak in September and October 1348, a thousand deaths were recorded every day, with overall mortality estimated at between 25 and 38 percent. Syria lost a total of 400,000 people by the time the epidemic subsided in March 1349. In contrast to some higher mortality estimates in Asia and Europe, scholars such as John Fields of Trinity College in Dublin believe the mortality rate in the Middle East was less than one-third of the total population, with higher rates in selected areas.
I would point out two facts. These statistics are only covering the second out break and are not covering the first and third. (Note the third was rather mild, the first is estimated at approximately 50M) Now let us do the math.
Europe+China+Middle(365) = 430M+125M+10000+(500+1000)*365 = 430M + 125M + 0.01M + 5.5M = 560.5M
Now if we wish to focus on europe alone you are talking 430M So if we take the current population of the 8 largest cities in Western Europe we get:
Nation Pop (12/2014)
Germany - 80,716,000
France - 66,030,000
Italy - 60,782,668
Spain - 46,704,314
Netherlands - 16,856,620
Belgium - 11,198,638
Greece - 10,816,286
Portugal - 10,427,301
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographi...by_country
Summing all of this up we get for the 8 most populated countries in Western Europe
81M+66M+61M+47M+17M+11M+11M+10M = 304M
304M < 430M Thus europe has not gotten back to the population levels it had before the plague.