Our server costs ~$56 per month to run. Please consider donating or becoming a Patron to help keep the site running. Help us gain new members by following us on Twitter and liking our page on Facebook!
Current time: January 8, 2025, 5:40 am
Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

Poll: Would you switch(and why)?
This poll is closed.
Yes
81.82%
 9 81.82%
No
9.09%
 1 9.09%
I don't know.
9.09%
 1 9.09%
Total 11 vote(s) 100%
* You voted for this item. [Show Results]

Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Thread Modes
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
Excited Penguin Offline
Retired Soap Salesman
Religious Views: Equanimity
Posts: 9479
Threads: 116
Joined: July 5, 2015
Reputation: 23
#9
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 8, 2016 at 8:27 pm (This post was last modified: March 8, 2016 at 8:28 pm by Excited Penguin.)
(March 8, 2016 at 8:24 pm)Jenny A Wrote: What is it about the Monty Hall problem that makes you think math doesn’t apply?  It looks like a straight up probability problem to me.  Therefore it's a mathematical problem.  

If you are assuming Monty cheats than there is no right answer because Monty will win if he wants to.

It's that you have no reason to go with probability when having no knowledge of the variables involved. As I already said, probability is only helpful when you spot a pattern and there's no pattern here, therefore probability doesn't help you at all.

I'm not assuming anything. That's just it, I can't assume anything so I don't. But those that would make a choice because of probability would be assuming things.
Find
Reply


Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

Messages In This Thread
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 7:53 pm
RE: Probability? - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 7:56 pm
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 8:06 pm
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 8:27 pm

Possibly Related Threads...
Thread Author Replies Views Last Post
  Solving a system of two trigonometric equations FlatAssembler 20 2849 August 9, 2023 at 11:40 pm
Last Post: LinuxGal
  What's the probability that 3 out of 23 people will share the same birthday? FlatAssembler 28 4689 February 16, 2022 at 12:15 am
Last Post: Paleophyte
  Improving problem solving. RozKek 17 4506 January 10, 2017 at 9:51 am
Last Post: ErGingerbreadMandude
  Dividing by variable when solving algebraic equation GrandizerII 56 10767 October 31, 2016 at 1:06 am
Last Post: Kernel Sohcahtoa
  Frog probability Aractus 17 4423 April 22, 2016 at 9:16 pm
Last Post: Aractus
  Probability question: names in hats robvalue 78 12589 March 19, 2016 at 6:39 pm
Last Post: emjay
  The Monty Hall problem Marsellus Wallace 11 4384 April 13, 2014 at 4:40 pm
Last Post: Coffee Jesus
  The Monty Hall problem. Tiberius 47 17786 February 26, 2013 at 11:48 am
Last Post: PyroManiac
  Man refuses a check for a million for solving one of the hardest math problems. leo-rcc 12 6327 March 29, 2010 at 10:27 pm
Last Post: tavarish
  The probability of the accuracy of probability itself? Etc. Edwardo Piet 15 6982 February 9, 2009 at 1:54 pm
Last Post: chatpilot



Users browsing this thread: 21 Guest(s)