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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
Jenny A Offline
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#11
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 8, 2016 at 8:35 pm (This post was last modified: March 8, 2016 at 8:37 pm by Jenny A.)
I see your problem. You are assuming Monty cheats. Otherwise we know the probability. Each door has a one third chance of revealing the prize and a two thirds chance of revealing a goat. By revealing a goat door we didn't choose, Monty gives a mathematical reason to switch doors.


It is counter intuitive. And I remember being really bothered by this problem. But the math does work.
If there is a god, I want to believe that there is a god.  If there is not a god, I want to believe that there is no god.
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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

Messages In This Thread
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 7:53 pm
RE: Probability? - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 7:56 pm
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 8:06 pm
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem - by Jenny A - March 8, 2016 at 8:35 pm

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