(March 9, 2016 at 12:56 am)AFTT47 Wrote:There were more registered Dems in Texas in 2012 than Repubs. The lazy bastards didn't vote. The Dems would have to get an additional 1.5 million votes than they got in 2012 to make Texas competitive. So it's a waste of time and money for the Dem candidate to even spend an hour in Texas.(March 9, 2016 at 12:31 am)Wyrd of Gawd Wrote: The Red States only matter to the Dems for the nomination. They don't mean squat in the Presidential election. Hillary won't win any of them in November.
The "red states" are not enough to get to 270. You have to win some of the swing states. Hilary only needs to win the blue states and enough of the swing states.
I don't necessarily agree with you that she can't win any red states though. The Black + Hispanic vote is 50% in Texas. I wonder how Trump can win this state when Blacks love Hillary Clinton and Hispanics hate Trump. There has been talk for awhile of the Texas demographics forcing the state blue. And if Texas goes blue, it's all over. Your boy Trump could be the one to make it happen.
The Dems don't need any damn "Swing States" to win. They just have to win all of the true Blue States. The Repubs have to win all of their Red States plus pull off a couple of true Blue States. If the Dems win Texas it will give them a greater margin of victory but they don't need it as long as they keep all of their Blue States. http://elections.nbcnews.com/ns/politics...t-xGVJllz8
That's why the only poll that matters is one that polls the Dem voters in the Blue States. All of the other polls are useless and a complete waste of money.