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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
ErGingerbreadMandude Offline
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#77
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 13, 2016 at 8:21 am
(March 13, 2016 at 8:19 am)robvalue Wrote: Er... what?

I don't understand you. Yes, this whole thread has been explaining why you change.

The only assumption I make is that the prize has initially been selected randomly to be behind one of the doors.

If I chose wrong initially, with 2/3 chance, I will guarantee to win if I change.

If I chose right initially, with 1/3 chance, I will lose.

Chances I win = (2/3) * 1 + (1/3) * 0 = 2/3

It's how you calculate the mean of a probability distribution.

The math is all very fascinating rob, too bad you'll be returning home with a goat. The car was behind door 1.
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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

Messages In This Thread
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 7:53 pm
RE: Probability? - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 7:56 pm
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 8:06 pm
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem - by ErGingerbreadMandude - March 13, 2016 at 8:21 am

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