It all comes down to whether you pick the car on that first try or not. Forget about everything else. This is all that matters. I'm arguing that it's not 1/3 that you pick a car on your first try because there's nothing to say that whatever "random" process makes you choose your first door nothing guarantees that you won't choose the car 10 times out of 10.
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Current time: January 8, 2025, 5:40 am
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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
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