RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 13, 2016 at 10:21 am
(This post was last modified: March 13, 2016 at 10:22 am by ErGingerbreadMandude.)
This is my final post for objecting why you guys are wrong. If you still don't get it, then idk wtf
If you pick a car in your first try then you will not get a car if you switch.
Therefore it is beneficial to switch only if you initially randomly choose a door with a goat behind it.
After the host opens a door behind which you will find a goat, you will have a 50-50 chance to have initially chosen a goat.
Since you have a 50-50 chance of having chosen a goat initially, you have a 50-50 chance of getting a car if you switch.
Therefore it is not beneficial to switch.
If you pick a car in your first try then you will not get a car if you switch.
Therefore it is beneficial to switch only if you initially randomly choose a door with a goat behind it.
After the host opens a door behind which you will find a goat, you will have a 50-50 chance to have initially chosen a goat.
Since you have a 50-50 chance of having chosen a goat initially, you have a 50-50 chance of getting a car if you switch.
Therefore it is not beneficial to switch.
