(March 13, 2016 at 10:21 am)pool the great Wrote: [...]
Since you have a 50-50 chance of having chosen a goat initially, [...]
LOL... How do you figure that? Since initially you were choosing from 3 doors, behind which there are 2 goats and 1 car - therefore you have a 66-33 chance of having initially chosen the goat. It does not matter, that one of the goat-doors was opened afterwards - your chances of having picked a goat are the same.
"The fact that a believer is happier than a skeptic is no more to the point than the fact that a drunken man is happier than a sober one." - George Bernard Shaw
