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Current time: January 8, 2025, 5:25 am

Poll: Would you switch(and why)?
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Yes
81.82%
9 81.82%
No
9.09%
1 9.09%
I don't know.
9.09%
1 9.09%
Total 11 vote(s) 100%
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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
I would keep the initial door I picked. Though my chances of being correct have changed from 1 in 3 to 50/50, it will not change what is behind the door that I chose. By opening door #3 and showing me a goat, it affirms the possibility that I chose the right door, but gives me no reason to assume that I chose incorrectly (or correctly).

Game-wise however, I would assume that I had picked the right door as they would rather I chose the goat and will try to get me to change my mind.
You make people miserable and there's nothing they can do about it, just like god.
-- Homer Simpson

God has no place within these walls, just as facts have no place within organized religion.
-- Superintendent Chalmers

Science is like a blabbermouth who ruins a movie by telling you how it ends. There are some things we don't want to know. Important things.
-- Ned Flanders

Once something's been approved by the government, it's no longer immoral.
-- The Rev Lovejoy
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Messages In This Thread
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 7:53 pm
RE: Probability? - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 7:56 pm
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 8:06 pm
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem - by IATIA - March 13, 2016 at 10:39 am

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