The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

[Jenny A]

This is my final post for objecting why you guys are wrong. If you still don't get it, then idk wtf

If you pick a car in your first try then you will not get a car if you switch.

Therefore it is beneficial to switch only if you initially randomly choose a door with a goat behind it.

After the host opens a door behind which you will find a goat, you will have a 50-50 chance to have initially chosen a goat.

Since you have a 50-50 chance of having chosen a goat initially, you have a 50-50 chance of getting a car if you switch.

Therefore it is not beneficial to switch.

I simplified it into something so simple like this yet you guys refuse to accept it? I'm just going to have to give up then

See my answer above. Your chances are never 50/50 because there is only one car and three
doors.