(March 13, 2016 at 7:48 am)pool the great Wrote: Hey Rob, you do realize you could flip a coin and get heads a million times in a row but this doesn't raise your probability of getting heads next time around, right?
That is because each coin tosses is independent of every other toss. That is not the situation in the Monty hall problem when you make your decision whether to switch.. There are two goats and one car. Three goats at the same time is not possible.
Where the car will be the next time Monty plays is independent of where it is any other time he plays. But there will still only be one car and two goats.
If there is a god, I want to believe that there is a god. If there is not a god, I want to believe that there is no god.