Your reasoning is wrong, pool, and I agree with everyone else's logic on this... But for the fact that nothing guarantees the odds everyone is talking about. Again, for all we know, you might pick the door with the car from the beggining 10 times out of 10 ad infinitum. If there is nothing to make it so that there's truly a 1/3 chance of picking any of the doors(as it is, there isn't), then probability won't help you at all. Whether you win or lose is what's random.
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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
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