RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 14, 2016 at 12:05 am
(This post was last modified: March 14, 2016 at 12:06 am by Whateverist.)
From wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem:
Quote:Many readers of vos Savant's column refused to believe switching is beneficial despite her explanation. After the problem appeared in Parade, approximately 10,000 readers, including nearly 1,000 with PhDs, wrote to the magazine, most of them claiming vos Savant was wrong (Tierney 1991). Even when given explanations, simulations, and formal mathematical proofs, many people still do not accept that switching is the best strategy (vos Savant 1991a). Paul Erdős, one of the most prolific mathematicians in history, remained unconvinced until he was shown a computer simulationconfirming the predicted result ().