(March 14, 2016 at 8:48 am)Aractus Wrote: Yeah but my point is the probability is dependant on you having pre-knowledge of his intentions.
Sort of. The probability is based on knowing he will always reveal a door you didn't choose. Otherwise he might only reveal another door if you have already chosen the prize. But, if he must reveal a door, his intentions are irrelivant. If he reveals a goat, your best bet is to switch. If he revealed the car, but didn't let you chose it, there's no option to consider.
If there is a god, I want to believe that there is a god. If there is not a god, I want to believe that there is no god.