RE: Probability question: names in hats
March 15, 2016 at 1:38 pm
(This post was last modified: March 15, 2016 at 1:40 pm by robvalue.)
This is the complete probability tree for every legal outcome:
![[Image: 0GS25Nfl.jpg]](https://images.weserv.nl/?url=i.imgur.com%2F0GS25Nfl.jpg)
The solution is found by adding together the probabilities of those that end with player 3 getting a 3. So that's just the top one, 1/4.
Try it out! It will happen about 1/4 of the time
![[Image: 0GS25Nfl.jpg]](https://images.weserv.nl/?url=i.imgur.com%2F0GS25Nfl.jpg)
The solution is found by adding together the probabilities of those that end with player 3 getting a 3. So that's just the top one, 1/4.
Try it out! It will happen about 1/4 of the time

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Index of useful threads and discussions
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Quickstart guide to the forum