This can be solved through brute force, in theory at least, using a tree diagram. It's just that it is going to be monstrously big.
The first choice produces 8 distinct possibilities that keep the game going, each of which affect further probabilities in different ways. Each of those will lead to 7 or 8 more possibilities, then each of those leads to 6 or 7...
I think key to solving this is to try and find a formula for each combination, to see what the overlap is between different combinations, and then find a way of counting them all into useful groups.
The guy who told me this claimed he and his mates had solved it, but I don't know if they got it right or not. They didn't tell me the answer.
The first choice produces 8 distinct possibilities that keep the game going, each of which affect further probabilities in different ways. Each of those will lead to 7 or 8 more possibilities, then each of those leads to 6 or 7...
I think key to solving this is to try and find a formula for each combination, to see what the overlap is between different combinations, and then find a way of counting them all into useful groups.
The guy who told me this claimed he and his mates had solved it, but I don't know if they got it right or not. They didn't tell me the answer.
Feel free to send me a private message.
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Please visit my website here! It's got lots of information about atheism/theism and support for new atheists.
Index of useful threads and discussions
Index of my best videos
Quickstart guide to the forum