(May 18, 2016 at 9:29 pm)Minimalist Wrote: Yeah... and if a baseball team is 6 1/2 games behind with 7 to play they are not mathematically eliminated either. But I wouldn't spend money buying their playoff tickets.
There are 781 delegates available not counting super-delegates. Sanders trails by 274 in pledged delegates. By my count, he needs to win 67+% of the remaining delegates. And every race that he either loses or wins with less than 67% of the delegates simply makes it harder.
Hillary is 92 votes short. She can't get them in the two minor races before June 7th. You can talk about math all you like but I far prefer her chances to his.
You bounce between counting super-delegates and not counting super-delegates so fast Min, it's like watching Tennis.
By my calculation, Hillary is 615 votes short of the nomination via pledged delegates. There are 939 pledged delegates still available. That means she has to win 65% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination. I don't think that's possible.
Do I think Sanders will be the nominee? No, I don't. That's not why he's still in this race though. He's in it because a huge amount of people voted for him rather than Hillary, and he wants to make sure that their views are heard at the DNC. If the DNC alienate Sanders' voters, a number of them won't vote for Clinton.
