Why do Trump supporters think he's going to win

[Thumpalumpacus]

The thing is, going back decades, Trump has had the habit of surrounding himself with lickspittles who tell him what he wants to hear ... meaning they may well be advising him to do exactly as he has done. His campaign team isn't terribly experienced at this level, unlike Clinton's.

She's playing rope-a-dope, and it will pay off in November.

As I said, I may be wrong, but he's pulling every right wing trick in the book. Maybe it's his true self or maybe it's someone coaching him to attract as many protestors as possible. Trump was always good at selling himself. In fact, it seems that is the only thing he ever was good at.

No doubt he's tugging at strings, and it's quite possible he's expressing sentiments that he doesn't himself share. All that means, to me, is that he's misestimating the (in)tolerance of the American public. Don't get me wrong, there are far too many bigots here as matters stand, but as legislation and court-rulings over the last ten or so years show (assuming they're a metric for public sentiment, which I think they are), Americans are more tolerant than Trump gives them credit for.

He is making the mistake of playing to his base after he has sewn up the nomination. At this point, he should broadening his appeal, not constricting it. Fine, I say. I'm not alone in thinking that Trump's candidacy is actually good for America, insofar as it shows how far we have yet to go, no matter the advances we've made the last two decades. It is riling Democrats, and I think will result in a large Democrat turnout, which not only bodes ill for Trump's candidacy, but for Republican aspirations in Congress.

He is good at selling himself; his stature as the presumptive Republcan nominee is powerful evidence for that. But that was a matter of selling red meat to hungry folk. He has a different, and far greater, challenge ahead.

Hilary has a very experienced staff which excels at opposition research. They have all his ugly words catalogued, video on file, and no doubt have a few commercials already in the can, with more to be made -- but right now she is hoping to nurse a small margin into a larger one without using them. They repesent a massive retailiation capability in the event the numbers get closer towards election day -- should that occur, she will then machine-gun several different ads, chosen for their appeal to the demographic being contested; or she's husbanding them for a spoiling attack in the event her legal difficulties deepen.