Why do Trump supporters think he's going to win

[Rev. Rye]

Yes, she's not going to drop a nuke on anyone because someone insulted her hair. With Trump, I'm not so sure.

Exactly. For all her flaws, she doesn't act on spite quite like Trump does.

Well, the thing about Hilary is there is so much that rubs voters the wrong way, and I'd consider them deal-breakers against her if not for the fact that she's running against someone else who takes many of those same qualities and makes them much worse.

Hilary has Dodgy racial politics? Donald Trump proposes policies like the Border Wall or his proposal to keep Muslims/Arabs from emigrating which are ultimately racist, and seems to court the racist vote more openly than any major presidential candidate since George Wallace.
Hilary's in Wall Street's pocket? Donald Trump embodies the worst aspects of Wall Street.
Hilary flip-flops on a lot of issues? Donald Trump waffles on many of his more outrageous policies depending on whatever way he thinks the political bellwhether is swinging. Sometimes he claims Muslims should be put on a register like sex offenders; stopped from entering the country (either temporarily or forever); or deported altogether, including natural-born citizens.
Hilary's accepted millions from the Saudis? So has Trump!
Hilary did some possibly criminal stuff over the web? Check out this website with several lawsuits Trump has been involved in.

Raskolnikov, meet Svidrigailov.