RE: UK to leave EU
June 27, 2016 at 6:03 am
(This post was last modified: June 27, 2016 at 6:05 am by Edwardo Piet.)
Lol I just saw Boris Johnson's speech where he argued for why we should vote Leave. His argument was "Well at least we're offering some sort of hope and solution. The Remain campaign isn't offering any hope or solution at all." It's the Optimism Bias: Completely failing to address the fact that no solution and no hope is better than false hope and making things even worse than they already are.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emxumavBU3M
"They say we can't do it, we say they can" "they offer fear we offer hope"
LOL
The question is whether you actually can or if your hope is genuine. Offering hope and saying you can isn't enough: if you're wrong you're only making things worse.
Better to offer sensible fear than insensible hope.
It's like when atheists admit they don't know the ultimate origin of life and theists are like "Well at least we are offering an answer! Goddidit" a bad answer is worse than no answer.
People just want any answer even if it's a terrible one that makes shit worse. The fact that no solution is automatically seen as a weakness is awful when the other side's so-called "solution" is deemed legitimate rather than harmful simply through being a mere attempt at a solution. No answer is better than a bad answer, having an answer is no more a sign of strength than it is a sign of weakness. It depends on the quality of the answer: not the mere availability of answer. If I answer the question of "What is 2+2?" with "5" that incorrect answer isn't superior to my ignoring the question. Better to keep silent than give the wrong answer and spread misinformation or worsen things.
This kind of stuff makes me agree with the esteemed Daniel Kahneman even more:
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahneman
Boris Johnson's entire speech is rhetoric using appeal to emotion playing on people's need for reassurance regardless of if based on anything or not.
Notice how in this entire speech he spoke of hope and offered a can-do attitude but offered no facts or evidence that his hope was genuine or if what he is saying can be done can actually be done.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emxumavBU3M
"They say we can't do it, we say they can" "they offer fear we offer hope"
LOL
The question is whether you actually can or if your hope is genuine. Offering hope and saying you can isn't enough: if you're wrong you're only making things worse.
Better to offer sensible fear than insensible hope.
It's like when atheists admit they don't know the ultimate origin of life and theists are like "Well at least we are offering an answer! Goddidit" a bad answer is worse than no answer.
People just want any answer even if it's a terrible one that makes shit worse. The fact that no solution is automatically seen as a weakness is awful when the other side's so-called "solution" is deemed legitimate rather than harmful simply through being a mere attempt at a solution. No answer is better than a bad answer, having an answer is no more a sign of strength than it is a sign of weakness. It depends on the quality of the answer: not the mere availability of answer. If I answer the question of "What is 2+2?" with "5" that incorrect answer isn't superior to my ignoring the question. Better to keep silent than give the wrong answer and spread misinformation or worsen things.
This kind of stuff makes me agree with the esteemed Daniel Kahneman even more:
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahneman
Quote:Most of us view the world as more benign than it really is, our own attributes as more favorable than they truly are, and the goals we adopt as more achievable than they are likely to be. We also tend to exaggerate our ability to forecast the future, which fosters overconfidence. In terms of its consequences for decisions, the optimistic bias may well be the most significant cognitive bias.
Boris Johnson's entire speech is rhetoric using appeal to emotion playing on people's need for reassurance regardless of if based on anything or not.
Notice how in this entire speech he spoke of hope and offered a can-do attitude but offered no facts or evidence that his hope was genuine or if what he is saying can be done can actually be done.
