(June 27, 2016 at 12:03 pm)SofaKingHigh Wrote:(June 27, 2016 at 11:58 am)abaris Wrote: You know, you didn't ask me but Alisdair. But think back a century. This very day, a century ago. That's when the battle at the Somme started. All our peoples lay in opposite trenches and were shooting and killing each others. That's why I am pro European.
Abaris, I'll be honest, one of the huge things that pulled at my conscious was this very thing, maybe I'm an optimist in thinking that we don't need the EU to stop Europe falling into all out war again.
Maybe I'm a fool, we'll see.
Daniel Kahneman Wrote:Most of us view the world as more benign than it really is, our own attributes as more favorable than they truly are, and the goals we adopt as more achievable than they are likely to be. We also tend to exaggerate our ability to forecast the future, which fosters overconfidence. In terms of its consequences for decisions, the optimistic bias may well be the most significant cognitive bias. Because optimistic bias is both a blessing and a risk, you should be both happy and wary if you are temperamentally optimistic.