Mathilda Wrote:The assumption he is making is that progress will speed up exponentially. He cannot make that assumption.
And he doesn't. In fact he says the exact opposite:
Sam Harris Wrote:It's crucial to realize that the rate of progress doesn't matter. Any progress is enough to get us into the endzone. We don't need Moore's Law to continue; we don't need exponential progress... we just need to keep going.
Underline added.
He said this verbatim in the video. How can you say he's making the assumption of exponential improvement when he specifically says the exact opposite in the video?