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Do Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence?
RE: Do Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence?
(July 27, 2017 at 4:04 pm)SteveII Wrote: Anyone want to discuss this part of the OP:

First point. Of course someone being supernaturally healed or rising from the dead is an improbable claim. However, the improbability of this event could be counter-balanced by examining the evidence and simply asking the question: what is the probability of this evidence being present had a miracle not occurred? As this probability number goes down, the probability of the event having a supernatural cause goes up. Notice that there is no requirement that the evidence be 'extraordinary'.

And latter I added:

And that is exactly what I was referring to in my probability discussion. You are stopping at one side of the probability calculus--just the probability of seeing miracle R|B over the probability of seeing not-R|B (the middle of the equation). You have to also assess the probability of E|R&B over the probability of seeing E|not-R&B. 

[Image: ?url=www.reasonablefaith.org%2Fimages%2F...2F8-18.jpg]

R = Resurrection 
B = Background information (the supernatural exists)
E = Evidence

I can certainly mention your idea of discussion as being nothing more than hooey in relation to realistic terms as opposed to the delusional brilliance you perceive.
"Never trust a fox. Looks like a dog, behaves like a cat."
~ Erin Hunter
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Messages In This Thread
RE: Do Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence? - by Foxaèr - July 27, 2017 at 4:06 pm

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