Another hypothetical for theists.

[GrandizerII]

The likelihood that a loving and personal God does not exist in light of how the actual world functions is higher than the likelihood that such a God exists. This is the actual world. Therefore, the credence assigned to the explanation "God exists and created this world" is lower than the credence assigned to naturalism.

I fucked up the order of things in the first sentence. It should say instead:

The likelihood that the actual world as it is exists in the absence of a loving and personal God is higher than the likelihood that the actual world exists due to such a God.