Another hypothetical for theists.

[Neo-Scholastic]

No. I will not grant that the world as it is is more likely under atheistic naturalism than under theism. The world as it is seems to be intelligible and reason efficacious.

Then youre a terrible Bayesian is all I can say. Because what you just did, put another way, is argue that a world without bloodshed is not more likely under theism than under naturalism.

And you are changing the argument anyway, because the initial argument had nothing to do with the intelligibility of the world.

For some reason atheists never apply Bayesian analysis to the Resurrection. Wonder why?