Another hypothetical for theists.

[Succubus]

Then youre a terrible Bayesian is all I can say. Because what you just did, put another way, is argue that a world without bloodshed is not more likely under theism than under naturalism.

And you are changing the argument anyway, because the initial argument had nothing to do with the intelligibility of the world.

For some reason atheists never apply Bayesian analysis  to the Resurrection.  Wonder why?

For the same reason we don't apply Bayesian analysis to the story of Snow White.

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...The underlying assumption of the thought problem is that there can even be some kind of world without God. It assumes that you can get mathematics...

What choice did God have with regards to pi?
Divide the circumference of a circle by its diameter and you get 3.14159265359. It cannot possibly be any other value. Try it, take a sheet of paper, a compass and a straight edge and divide up the circle as many times as you see fit then use the straight edge to create triangles. You now have geometry which leads to mathematics. It cannot possibly be any other way.

No god's required.

Cue... 'Yeahbut, if the starting conditions of the universe were out by just......'