RE: Disproving Odin - An Experiment in arguing with a theist with Theist logic
March 26, 2018 at 9:34 am
(March 26, 2018 at 9:17 am)SteveII Wrote: In the case of the argument, it is the vast majority of scientists, philosophers, and regular people that both premises are likely true.
According to what survey or poll? Or is this you making stuff up again? Regular people, I don't care. But I do want that survey of academic philosophers and scientists.
Quote:That reasoning will not work for inductive reasoning. It just does not. Using your method, the more reasons you list that something might be true, the probability of it being true goes down. That is simply not logically possible, so the principle cannot apply.
This is an argument from incredulity, which is a fallacy. Just because you can't see how this is true doesn't mean it's not logically possible.
When you multiply probabilities together, there's going to be a reduction in probabilities when at least one of the probabilities is lower than 1.
Alternative arguments will suffer the same fate, so it's not like this is a deadly problem or anything. It's a matter of comparing the probabilities of each competing conclusion and seeing which one is more likely.