RE: Bill Cosby Guilty!
April 27, 2018 at 10:07 am
(This post was last modified: April 27, 2018 at 10:14 am by Rev. Rye.)
I figured out that this is a good place to bring up the actual rates of false accusations and how likely they are to apply to Bill's case:
In the aftermath of George Takei being accused of sexual misconduct, I gave an estimate of how frequent false rape accusations are, using stats from RAINN that estimate 321,500 people get sexually assaulted in America (one every 98 seconds, and roughly 1% of the population every year GODDAM) and for every 1000, 341 will report it to the police. Roughly 109,632 reports per year. I found a study by the British Home Office (the biggest I was able to find) that roughly 2.5% were false. However, a while back, I thought about that to myself, and wondered if the numbers really applied to America. After all, we're a nation that could spend over a year and a half mulling the decision over, and still believe that the best choice for leader of the free world is an orangutan with all the political sensitivity of Nikolai Stavrogin and all the finesse of a WWE wrestling heel. Maybe it could be higher. So, I looked further, and I found a study that was even bigger and focused on America. It stated that the rate of false accusations is 5.5%.
109632*.055=6,030 cases per year. (One every 87 minutes, 8 seconds). Needless to say, this is not nothing.
However, this one doesn't break it down further by motivations, but from what I've been able to gather from my research, it seems that the most common scenario for such accusations tends to be that a young girl is caught with a boyfriend their parents don't like and claim he raped her because they're afraid of the consequences of what would happen if she stuck to her guns and told the truth (see Mayella Ewell). And I suspect that, if it's treated strictly as a false rape accusation, an accusation where the rape unquestionably occurred but the wrong person ended up being accused (see the Central Park Five) would also be common among these cases. What isn't terribly common, however, is malicious accusation, deliberately accusing someone falsely to destroy their reputation. It does indeed happen, but it's not common, and what really isn't common is having multiple people make accusations that are all dake. The only verified examples I can think of are the "Satanic Panic" day school trials of the 1980s, and those involved kids with young, pliable, minds being plied by ambitious prosecutors to fulfill a narrative they desperately wanted to make a reality.
If you could prove Bill Cosby's accusers, all 59 of them, were in on such a conspiracy, this would require serious evidence to back up, especially when we have a deposition where Cosby, under oath, drugged women to make them compliant to his sexual escapades.
In the aftermath of George Takei being accused of sexual misconduct, I gave an estimate of how frequent false rape accusations are, using stats from RAINN that estimate 321,500 people get sexually assaulted in America (one every 98 seconds, and roughly 1% of the population every year GODDAM) and for every 1000, 341 will report it to the police. Roughly 109,632 reports per year. I found a study by the British Home Office (the biggest I was able to find) that roughly 2.5% were false. However, a while back, I thought about that to myself, and wondered if the numbers really applied to America. After all, we're a nation that could spend over a year and a half mulling the decision over, and still believe that the best choice for leader of the free world is an orangutan with all the political sensitivity of Nikolai Stavrogin and all the finesse of a WWE wrestling heel. Maybe it could be higher. So, I looked further, and I found a study that was even bigger and focused on America. It stated that the rate of false accusations is 5.5%.
109632*.055=6,030 cases per year. (One every 87 minutes, 8 seconds). Needless to say, this is not nothing.
However, this one doesn't break it down further by motivations, but from what I've been able to gather from my research, it seems that the most common scenario for such accusations tends to be that a young girl is caught with a boyfriend their parents don't like and claim he raped her because they're afraid of the consequences of what would happen if she stuck to her guns and told the truth (see Mayella Ewell). And I suspect that, if it's treated strictly as a false rape accusation, an accusation where the rape unquestionably occurred but the wrong person ended up being accused (see the Central Park Five) would also be common among these cases. What isn't terribly common, however, is malicious accusation, deliberately accusing someone falsely to destroy their reputation. It does indeed happen, but it's not common, and what really isn't common is having multiple people make accusations that are all dake. The only verified examples I can think of are the "Satanic Panic" day school trials of the 1980s, and those involved kids with young, pliable, minds being plied by ambitious prosecutors to fulfill a narrative they desperately wanted to make a reality.
If you could prove Bill Cosby's accusers, all 59 of them, were in on such a conspiracy, this would require serious evidence to back up, especially when we have a deposition where Cosby, under oath, drugged women to make them compliant to his sexual escapades.
Comparing the Universal Oneness of All Life to Yo Mama since 2010.
I was born with the gift of laughter and a sense the world is mad.
I was born with the gift of laughter and a sense the world is mad.