If you look at the Home vs Away picks column that I added to the spreadsheet you’ll see that HFA is a factor. Possibly a minor one but when you have two pretty equal teams like the Chiefs and the Rams it might be the difference maker.
However I think the main factor here will be the offense vs defense. The Rams and Chiefs are #1 and #2 in offense respectively. There’s not much separating them there. However the Chiefs are 31st overall I’m defense while the Rams are 23rd. That’s a big enough separation that combined with HFA it might make the difference.
I think it’s gonna be a close game though, tbh.
However I think the main factor here will be the offense vs defense. The Rams and Chiefs are #1 and #2 in offense respectively. There’s not much separating them there. However the Chiefs are 31st overall I’m defense while the Rams are 23rd. That’s a big enough separation that combined with HFA it might make the difference.
I think it’s gonna be a close game though, tbh.
