RE: Why Trump will win in 2024.
December 12, 2022 at 5:38 pm
(This post was last modified: December 12, 2022 at 5:39 pm by Thumpalumpacus.)
(December 12, 2022 at 4:26 pm)Jehanne Wrote:(December 12, 2022 at 3:15 pm)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: Beats me, but between that and other legal issues, at best Trump will be a distracted candidate, and at worst, any potential leaks could torpedo his campaign. It's hard to say, and my Magic 8-Ball ain't cooperating.
Trump could probably have sex with a goat on Madison Avenue and 5% of the American population will still support him. Even if he is indicted tomorrow, it will take an entire year before any trial takes place, probably, longer. As I said, he is going to run for President, either as the Republican nominee or as a third-party candidate; only death and/or profound disability will halt that outcome.
He has a solid base, true, but he also has a solid opposition. And with his base hovering between 38-42% of the polity, and independents already (per the 2020 ballot) being turned off from him, his chances are slim. I personally think that a Trump candidacy in 2024, be it as Republican nominee or as an independent, insures a Republican defeat that year.
This idea that he is invincible, after what we've seen in 2018 and 2020, doesn't hold much water for me. Add legal woes closing in, if I were a Democrat running in 2024 I'd be licking my chops.
