RE: Voluntary Human Extinction Movement
January 1, 2023 at 12:06 am
(This post was last modified: January 1, 2023 at 12:17 am by Jehanne.)
As I said, I believe the A6 models. Not only are they doing an excellent job predicting climate on this World, they are doing a good job predicting the climate on other worlds.
I worked, professionally, in Statistical Process Control for over 10 years for Verizon, using Minitab as my principle analysis tool. I remember when I did a simple timeseries plot on the NASA GISS world temperature dataset in the late 90s, which is located here:
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/table...s+dSST.txt
The results were shocking, and I will never forget my first sight of them -- a "sea of red" above the 3-sigma UCL, with Minitab flagging all the Shewhart tests for non-random (or, "special cause") variation. But, yes, it was a longitudinal chart, and, as we all know, correlation does not prove causation.
Still, the signal persists and has since I first saw it 25 years ago. Here is the NSIDC data for the Arctic sea ice extent:
![[Image: N_iqr_timeseries.png]](https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_iqr_timeseries.png)
And, the Antarctic:
![[Image: S_iqr_timeseries.png]](https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_iqr_timeseries.png)
These recent results are, of course, completely anecdotal, but, nevertheless, they are completely consistent with the decadal trends seen here in recent times. Eventually, due to albedo, the trend is almost certainly going to accelerate.
My most important observation to climate skeptics is not to confound heat with temperature -- you are more likely to burn your mouth on the cheese as opposed to the crust, even though both are at the same temperature in your (hopefully) fully cooked pizza.
I worked, professionally, in Statistical Process Control for over 10 years for Verizon, using Minitab as my principle analysis tool. I remember when I did a simple timeseries plot on the NASA GISS world temperature dataset in the late 90s, which is located here:
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/table...s+dSST.txt
The results were shocking, and I will never forget my first sight of them -- a "sea of red" above the 3-sigma UCL, with Minitab flagging all the Shewhart tests for non-random (or, "special cause") variation. But, yes, it was a longitudinal chart, and, as we all know, correlation does not prove causation.
Still, the signal persists and has since I first saw it 25 years ago. Here is the NSIDC data for the Arctic sea ice extent:
And, the Antarctic:
These recent results are, of course, completely anecdotal, but, nevertheless, they are completely consistent with the decadal trends seen here in recent times. Eventually, due to albedo, the trend is almost certainly going to accelerate.
My most important observation to climate skeptics is not to confound heat with temperature -- you are more likely to burn your mouth on the cheese as opposed to the crust, even though both are at the same temperature in your (hopefully) fully cooked pizza.
