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Newcomb's Paradox
#21
RE: Newcomb's Paradox
(January 28, 2023 at 12:40 pm)GrandizerII Wrote: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcomb%27s_paradox

A lot of you would know about this already. The interesting thing about this puzzle is that even though it seems like there is a very clear correct answer here, there are a lot of people who insist that's not correct ... and I'm taking philosophers, mathematicians, game theorists, and not just laypeople. So I guess that's really where the "paradox" lies.

Anyway, here's the problem to consider:

You have two boxes in front of you. Behind these two boxes is the Predictor, some super-advanced being who is (at the very least) really, really good at predicting beforehand what you would do.

Box A is transparent and contains $1000.
Box B is opaque and either contains $0 or $1000000

You have two options here:

Either choose both Box A and Box B, or
Choose Box B only

The Predictor has already predicted what option you would go for:
If they predicted you would choose both boxes, then Box B will contain $0.
If they predicted you would choose Box B only, then Box B will contain $1000000

Which option do you go for?

I suspect most of us here would choose Box B only, but it would be interesting to hear the different perspectives on this problem.
I would choose box b.  If it contains $0, I've lost nothing.  I can get $1,000 dollars easily so it would not be a loss if box b had nothing in it.  It would not be a loss in any case because I don't seek the unearned.  I'd much rather skip the whole thing and work hard and make $1,000,000 myself.  Then and only then would it have value to me.
"Do not lose your knowledge that man's proper estate is an upright posture,  an intransigent mind, and a step that travels unlimited roads."

"The hardest thing to explain is the glaringly evident which everybody has decided not to see."



Messages In This Thread
Newcomb's Paradox - by GrandizerII - January 28, 2023 at 12:40 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by BrianSoddingBoru4 - January 28, 2023 at 1:43 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by brewer - January 28, 2023 at 2:29 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by zebo-the-fat - January 28, 2023 at 2:46 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by BrianSoddingBoru4 - January 28, 2023 at 3:16 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by GrandizerII - January 28, 2023 at 9:50 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by GrandizerII - January 28, 2023 at 10:25 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Silver - January 28, 2023 at 8:02 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by brewer - January 29, 2023 at 9:54 am
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Anomalocaris - January 28, 2023 at 8:26 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by GrandizerII - January 28, 2023 at 9:36 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Anomalocaris - January 28, 2023 at 8:27 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Angrboda - January 28, 2023 at 8:34 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by BrianSoddingBoru4 - January 28, 2023 at 8:47 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Anomalocaris - January 28, 2023 at 9:08 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by BrianSoddingBoru4 - January 29, 2023 at 4:56 am
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Angrboda - January 28, 2023 at 9:37 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Silver - January 28, 2023 at 9:39 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Nay_Sayer - January 30, 2023 at 2:38 am
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by BrianSoddingBoru4 - January 30, 2023 at 5:39 am
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Objectivist - February 7, 2023 at 11:02 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by HappySkeptic - February 8, 2023 at 1:43 pm
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by Disagreeable - July 12, 2023 at 9:00 am
RE: Newcomb's Paradox - by arewethereyet - July 12, 2023 at 10:32 am

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