(April 23, 2014 at 6:56 pm)Chuck Wrote:(April 23, 2014 at 6:52 pm)Cthulhu Dreaming Wrote: 50/50. Either it happens, or it doesn't. Duh.
Huh, no.
If the fundamental probability is really 50/50, then what would the probability of 10 out of 10 observation, to say nothing of 1 million out of 1 million observations, all coming up heads?
You might think the probability that the fundamental probability is really 50/50 is very slight if 10 out of 10 observations all came up heads.
Hey - Chuck - I'm poking fun at Heywood's abuse of the Principle of Indifference here. You're fucking up my joke, man.