RE: Holy Crap He's an Idiot
April 23, 2014 at 7:09 pm
(This post was last modified: April 23, 2014 at 7:12 pm by Heywood.)
(April 23, 2014 at 6:50 pm)Chuck Wrote:(April 23, 2014 at 6:43 pm)Heywood Wrote: I believe the constants of nature are indeed constant. That belief is one of faith because it is possible a constant could just be a large collection of chance occurrences that just happen to arrive at the same value every time.
Please quantify the probability of this possibility, or at least describe how in principle it can be done.
Otherwise this is just another fart in the wind.
The more observations you have which are constant, the more likely it becomes that what you are observing is indeed constant. So for any constant of nature whose properties are derived solely on observation, I would say the probability of it actually being random is X....and X is greater than 0. Unless you have observed everything, you will never have enough observations to make X = 0.
(April 23, 2014 at 6:58 pm)Cthulhu Dreaming Wrote:(April 23, 2014 at 6:56 pm)Chuck Wrote: Huh, no.
If the fundamental probability is really 50/50, then what would the probability of 10 out of 10 observation, to say nothing of 1 million out of 1 million observations, all coming up heads?
You might think the probability that the fundamental probability is really 50/50 is very slight if 10 out of 10 observations all came up heads.
Hey - Chuck - I'm poking fun at Heywood's abuse of the Principle of Indifference here. You're fucking up my joke, man.
It would be funny if I actually abused the Principle of Indifference.