Take a pack of cards. Throw it into the air. Now gather them up.
Look at the top card. The probability that this card, whatever it is, is the first card is 1 in 52.
Now look at the second card. The probability that this card is whatever it is is 1 in 51.
The probability that of the first and second cards is 1 in 52 times 1 in 51.
Now repeat for the rest of the cards. The probability of the order of the pack is 1 in 10^67.
There must be a god!
Consider this:
To repeat that order:
Take one billion people, teach them to shuffle the cards 1 billion times per year. Get them to do it for 1 billion years.....on one billion planets.....in one billion galaxies.
Then repeat the whole things one billion times.
The probability you will repeat the order you randomly generated is about 1 in 10,000,000,000,000 (ten trillion).
In other words it is about the same as lining up the whole of the US debt in $1 bills and choosing the right one.
Strangely the probability for either event is 1 in 10^67. The first happened on your first try - the second needed a lot more effort.
Why?
Funny thing probability.
Look at the top card. The probability that this card, whatever it is, is the first card is 1 in 52.
Now look at the second card. The probability that this card is whatever it is is 1 in 51.
The probability that of the first and second cards is 1 in 52 times 1 in 51.
Now repeat for the rest of the cards. The probability of the order of the pack is 1 in 10^67.
There must be a god!
Consider this:
To repeat that order:
Take one billion people, teach them to shuffle the cards 1 billion times per year. Get them to do it for 1 billion years.....on one billion planets.....in one billion galaxies.
Then repeat the whole things one billion times.
The probability you will repeat the order you randomly generated is about 1 in 10,000,000,000,000 (ten trillion).
In other words it is about the same as lining up the whole of the US debt in $1 bills and choosing the right one.
Strangely the probability for either event is 1 in 10^67. The first happened on your first try - the second needed a lot more effort.
Why?
Funny thing probability.
Kuusi palaa, ja on viimeinen kerta kun annan vaimoni laittaa jouluvalot!
