RE: John Oliver - Global Warming Video
May 29, 2014 at 1:03 pm
(This post was last modified: May 29, 2014 at 1:41 pm by Darth.)
Don't send me down a citation rabbithole please, just link to the original study or studies.
That website cites that figure as being from 3 different sources, in one citation.
The first article cited looks at those that publish more, and says this:
The second is not the full study, it is a 2 page summary:
The third is a one page essay, nowhere can I see a 97% figure.
So it's an 'essay', an excerpt from a lecture. Gone.
That website cites that figure as being from 3 different sources, in one citation.
The first article cited looks at those that publish more, and says this:
Quote: Though our compiled researcher list is not comprehensive nor designed to be representative of the entire climate science community...Gone then, easy, we're talking consensus here.
The second is not the full study, it is a 2 page summary:
Quote: This brief report addresses the two primary questions of the survey, which contained up to nine questions (the full study is given by Kendall Zimmerman [2008])and even if it were the full study:
Quote: Of these specialists, 96.2% (76 of 79) answered “risen” to question 1 and 97.4% (75 of 77) answered yes to question 2.This is where '97' appears, some consensus you have there in such a large field, 76 people. Note that this is not a case of it being a representative sample, in that case I'd be fine with 76. This is them whittling down thousands through other means before then getting their figure.
The third is a one page essay, nowhere can I see a 97% figure.
Quote: 10.
This essay is excerpted from the 2004 George Sarton Memorial Lecture, “Consensus in science: How do we know we're not wrong,” presented at the AAAS meeting on 13 February 2004. I am grateful to AAAS and the History of Science Society for their support of this lectureship; to my research assistants S. Luis and G. Law; and to D. C. Agnew, K. Belitz, J. R. Fleming, M. T. Greene, H. Leifert, and R. C. J. Somerville for helpful discussions.
So it's an 'essay', an excerpt from a lecture. Gone.
Quote: Is that National Academy of Science good enough.... or would you demand some crackpot blond shithead on FOX say it?I don't live in America Min, and that's the first one from the Nasa link, good job.
http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/0...7.abstract
Nemo me impune lacessit.