RE: Capt. James Fanell warns about the rise of China
December 15, 2014 at 2:55 pm
(This post was last modified: December 15, 2014 at 3:13 pm by Anomalocaris.)
(December 15, 2014 at 2:22 pm)The_greatest_river Wrote: Yes but as displayed in Ukraine, how dependable are we with signed treaties? Plus China is a huge market that if it were to crash, the United States would be negatively affected and possibly crippled due to China being the only country to buy our bounds for the prices we ask for and they buy a lot of our products as we do with theirs. We are almost co-dependent on them, it's hard to say we would choose Japan over China.
Ukraine is nothing, a negligible quantity in the scheme of world economy and world politics. We would look to all the world like raving lunatics which must be locked away if we chose to go to war for nothing. It would be even worse than the raving lunatic we were seen as when we invaded Iraq over nothing. At least Iraq held the mirage of oil and was not backed by Russia's transcontinental reach and nuclear arsenal.
Japan is not nothing. It is the largest economy amongst our minions and the only one in the pacific that might be an aid rather than an burden to us as we try to figure out how the world would be reconfigured as the western alliance gradually lose economic preeminance, the ultimate basis of political and military preeminance, in the world. So we would chose Japan over China, at least while it was clear we would win a war against China. If we don't, we would be totally discredited everywhere in the world as a ally worth having, and we would become just another second tier power with pretentions without China ever having to do the heavy liftng needed to match us in resource and influence. The damage from that would outweigh even the damages from rupturing of economic relationship with China.
If it eventually transpired that China becomes powerful enough such that an outcome of a war between China and US is 50/50, then everyone would understand if we silently ditch Japan to avoid the possibility of losing a war to China. At that time Japan had better figure out how Japan can best be to China what Japan has been to the US since WWII.
