RE: How we determine facts.
January 7, 2015 at 11:51 pm
(This post was last modified: January 7, 2015 at 11:52 pm by The Grand Nudger.)
(January 7, 2015 at 11:48 pm)Heywood Wrote: When I wrote out the example, I didn't spell out every assumption....like the overall distribution of colored marbles in the universe. So sure...if black marbles don't exist in the universe...the probability of drawing one from the bag is 0 and it is always going to be 0.But you won't know that. With no explicit statement about the totality of marbles in the bag (the number, the possible colors) -you can't even assign a probability.
Quote:Now regarding scientific conclusions....we begin to draw conclusions the moment we observe and reflect and we do begin to make conclusions after just one observation. The number of observations just increases our confidence in those conclusions.Yeah...that's actually not how scientific conclusions are arrived at -at all.
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