SURVIVOR: Game Changers

[Clueless Morgan]

She's gone!!!!!!!

Spoiler alert!

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Finally, Sierra is out!!
You did enough damage with the sheriff thing.

I notice, whenever someone gets cocky and bossy, they tend to be voted out.... Andrea's next, then...

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Damn it! I forgot when you quote a spoiler tag you SEE the what's hidden!
Luckily it's just who was voted out so no biggie, but still!

Oddly enough, no one seems concerned about Michaela's anti-social behavior...

It's been stated many times that she's generally hard to get along with so people have seemed to just stop commenting on it.

Cirie still gliding through while being friends with everyone... if she doesn't get voted out soon, she'll win this. It's a shame that she's not likely to ever win a challenge.

It's possibly because she's not a challenge threat that she has the ability to make it as far as she does. Look at Andrea: Andrea is a strategic threat like Cirie, and (to a less extent perhaps) a social threat like Cirie, but she's ALSO a huge challenge threat and everyone wants her gone because of it. Nobody (that we've seen) is talking about Cirie.

It occurred to me that Cirie is using Andrea as a meat shield the way Jeremy used Spencer as a meat shield in Cambodia.

Tai should start playing his idols...

He should save them (if possible) until he's guaranteed to make it to the final 4 (I think the last time you can use it is to get you INTO the final four).  That means, with 8 players left, he's gotta fly under the radar enough to make it through two more tribals and then he's guaranteed final 4 and possibly the goat spot in the finale.

Anyway, there's still quite a bit of game ahead. 3 or 4 episode, right? We'll see what nonsense those starved folk do.

I think there are two episodes left now: Next week and then the two-hour finale where they start really shedding players.

So that was a pretty slick move Sarah pulled there, getting Sierra to pass on her legacy advantage to her while knifing her in the back.  I don't think that's going to win her Sierra's vote, and might cost her other votes if she were to get to the final, but it was a bold move that worked at least in the short term.  I don't know that she fully thought out the consequences though.  Then again, in a season like this where the entire playerlist is made up of cutthroats, maybe not.  She'll have to make sure that whoever is sitting next to her at the end is pretty despicable, though - assuming she can make it, which I kind of doubt.

100% agree - she even kept the charade going past the vote by looking "shocked" that it was Sierra so Sierra would think, walking out, that Sarah had been duped, too.  More and more I think she's set up to be a finalist, and possibly a winner (unless Cirie is there).

I don't think Michaela is on the radar all that much any longer - I think she's really softened up her demeanor, and frankly, I think she's not bad for keeping around to take to the end because no one really likes her that much, except Tai.  She hasn't shown a knack for making big moves that I recall, and she's really only a threat as an underdog and as a threat to win immunity.  I don't think either of those factors wins her many votes at the end.

Perhaps that's a hidden Cirie strategy?  I think she's the only one who might actually consider taking Michaela.

Cirie is very much a threat to win the whole thing if everyone keeps passing her over for scrutiny.   You haven't seen her prior seasons, correct?   She is very, very good at the social game and it should be very apparent that she's no threat to win challenges (to me, one's ability to win challenges can get you farther, but it doesn't necessarily help you at the end - but the social game does).

As soon as Andrea's gone it'll crack the egg on Cirie, too.

If it comes down to your three of Aubrey/Cirie/Michaela, I think Cirie wins easily.

Aubry is a non-entity this season and Michaela is widely disliked.  They wouldn't even need to hold a vote, just give Cirie the check.

What would be more interesting is Sarah and Cirie at the final tribal - both excellent players, played different enough games to distinguish the two, and that would be a real choice. But barring some unforeseen catastrophe in game play I don't think that will happen.

Troyzan is an enigma this season to me.  He doesn't get much screen time, he's not making big moves, and as you say, he's on the wrong side of votes.  He could go deep but he's going to have to step things up if he wants to win.  Right now he has very little on his resume except that by virtue of being on the wrong side of the numbers, he hasn't really betrayed anyone of importance.  That strategy has worked before (Hi, Sandra!), but it doesn't work often.  There is, however, very little reason to vote him off.

Agree again.  Troyzan is a nothing player this time around, just a vote blowing in the wind.  I don't see how he makes a case to win.

I think Brad goes home as soon as he doesn't have immunity, simply by virtue of the fact that he's very good at challenges.  I don't think he has a better than average chance of winning.  However, having the benefit of a visit from his wife - who is a very good player - can only help him.

Absent a major change, I don't see Andrea going much farther.

Agree on both counts.

That latter point is important to consider what might happen with Tai.  Assuming he doesn't get voted off with both idols in his pocket, he will almost certainly make it to the final 5 (at which point hidden immunity idols typically become inert).  Can he win?  I don't know.  He's very likable, which works in his favor, but Survivor is not about finding hidden immunity idols, and doing so does not usually impress the jury.

If Tai makes it to the end again it'll be as a no-vote-goat.

I have a fair idea of what the final 6 looks like (everyone minus Brad and Andrea) but beyond that, no idea.

I think unless people get wise to Sarah, and I'm not sure they will because they all inexplicably want to work with her, she'll be in the final tribal.  If she makes it to final tribal she's a serious contender whose only real challenge  for the win would be Cirie.  Me thinks as soon as Andrea's gone Sarah and Cirie will turn on each other in a big way.

Regardless of their ability to make it to the end right now, I think the winner contenders are:
Andrea
Cirie
Sarah
Brad - a long shot, tho

If if any of --^-- them get to the end they have a case to make.

The goats right now are:
Aubry
Tai
Troyzan
Michaela - unless she goes fully Anakin on Cirie but that would still rank her lower than Brad in winning ability IMO