Who Still Thinks Joe Biden Will Be The Nomine?

[GrandizerII]

I remember there was a thread a few months a go called "Biden Isn't Going Down", quote:

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Hate to say it but if nothing he says or do short of some extreme scandal will have him drop badly in polls, Biden is winning the nomination no matter what non-Biden supporters hope or think.

Oh and a lot of Bernie supporters on the Bernie Reddit are delusional as fuck. People aren't going to eventually magically gravitate to Bernie in large numbers, since he already has high name recognition and is doing relatively poorly in the polls inspire of that. People who are still shopping around looking for the right candidate don't want Bernie.

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He seems to have come in fifth place in the 2020 Iowa Caucus... Only Buttigieg, Sanders and Warren managed to reach the 15% threshold in Iowa. One of the claims was "People aren't going to eventually magically gravitate to Bernie in large numbers" yet it was Sanders who came in first place.

I am curious: do people still serious believe the "no change" candidate will be Donald Trump?

Yeah, there was a bit of a hurdle for Biden at the start, but Biden looks like he's pretty much just guaranteed the nomination for himself because, despite what you and I wish was the case, voters love Biden (as much if not more than Bernie) and trust him more as a leader who can get things done and defeat Trump. I understand it's going to probably be a contested convention at the end, and perhaps Warren will be backing Bernie up eventually, but Biden is now virtually unstoppable and has it in the bag.

I wasn't completely correct in my assessment, yes. But pretty close.

ETA: Bernie really fucked up with the black supporters in the south. Granted, he didn't have much of a chance with them, but he could've worked better on trying to understand where they're coming from. You aren't going to get black voters in the South voting for you if you're just going to talk at them. Understand and acknowledge the idea of racial privilege and subconscious racism instead of bragging to them about how you're going to end racism (I think black people laugh at the notion of a white person saying that, no matter how well-intentioned). That or be like Biden, be good at telling stories and talking to people instead of at them. I don't care if you think Biden' a bullshitter, doesn't change the fact that Biden just knows how to interact with them better than Bernie.