vote Donald trump!?

[Minimalist]

Yeah, yeah.  Romney was convinced he was going to win because he only read right-wing pollsters, too.  You guys never learn.

BTW, look what your sleazy little scumbag fuck did now.


http://www.rawstory.com/2016/07/trump-us...tim-tebow/

Trump used $12,000 in charity money to buy himself a souvenir helmet autographed by Tim Tebow

According to experts in non-profit law, Trump could be in violation of IRS laws involving “self-dealing,” if he kept the helmet for himself.

“That would be a classic violation of the prohibition on a charity being operated for the private inurement (benefit) of the charity’s creator,” explained Brett G. Kappel, an expert on tax-exempt organizations.

[Minimalist]

You hang in there, Grandma.

http://www.rawstory.com/2016/07/103-year...-disaster/

103-year-old woman: ‘I must live to vote for Hillary’ because ‘Trump would be a national disaster’

You can relax a bit, though.  Hillary is up by 8 in Iowa.

[Brian37]

You hang in there, Grandma.

http://www.rawstory.com/2016/07/103-year...-disaster/

103-year-old woman: ‘I must live to vote for Hillary’ because ‘Trump would be a national disaster’

You can relax a bit, though.  Hillary is up by 8 in Iowa.

It's closed on several poll averaged out, but she is still up by 4 or 5.

Realclear has her up by 4.5

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...-5491.html

Huff has her up by 5.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/poll...vs-clinton

We still cannot take Trump lightly. 

Fivethirtyeight has her at 78% chance of odds of winning. But again, all those numbers change day by day. I still see her winning, but Trump is way too dangerous to even desire to come close.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/

[abaris]

Let's just wait, if mister billionaire can even scrape together a campaign. Right now it seems as if he was begging for pennies at every street corner. The usual suspects aren't overly fond of him.

[Minimalist]

Loose cannons are never popular.

[Minimalist]

I was just commenting on Iowa polls.  You win one state at a time thanks to the absurd electoral college system.

RCP Average

Clinton +8.0
Loras College

Clinton +14


PPP (D)*
Clinton +2

[Minimalist]

 

http://www.rawstory.com/2016/07/hilariou...onvention/

Hilarious video exposes the tortured excuses of Republicans who are skipping the GOP convention

Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ), for instance, claimed he can’t attend because he’ll need to mow his lawn.

Okay, I still won't vote for the fuck because he's a republicunt but that was pretty good.

[Tiberius]

Seriously, anyone who references the national polls to show how either Trump or Clinton are "ahead" is a moron who doesn't understand how the presidential election works. The president isn't elected by the popular vote. National polls are practically meaningless. State polls, especially those in swing states, are the best predictors of the election at this point.

FiveThirtyEight (who correctly predicted the 2008 and 2012 elections, down to almost every state result) give Clinton a 78.1% chance of winning at the moment, with about 90 more electoral college votes than Trump.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201...id=navlink

[Minimalist]

You've got a much firmer understanding of how things work than a lot of people who've lived here their whole lives, Divi Tiberio.  I'll attribute that to you paying attention.

The national polls are merely a gauge of enthusiasm which can be important to calculate turnout.  Voter turnout, always the democrats' bug-a-boo, impacts the down ballot elections for the House and the Senate and if the last 8 years have shown us anything it is that control of the Congress is vital to getting anything done.  More, the impact goes further.  There are places in this country where GOP state legislatures and governors are literally ruining the lives of their citizens.  People have got to start throwing these assholes out of office.  Kansas, Louisiana and Wisconsin are going down the crapper as we speak and the good citizens of those states have no one but themselves to blame.

They have to get off their asses and vote.

[Minimalist]

Go get 'em, boys!

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/...ation.html

Republican delegate revolt grows in effort to sidetrack Trump nomination

Normally I would not expect the FOX FUX to carry this story.  But these are not normal times.