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Current time: November 1, 2026, 8:15 am
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Frog probability
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I wouldn't have eaten the mushroom.
I win. The granting of a pardon is an imputation of guilt, and the acceptance a confession of it.
Didn't watch the video.
It's 67% though. 
I think I don't get statistics, because the 67% seems like BS to me.
It's like, if I heard that someone in a room flipped a coin and got heads, I wouldn't go into a two-coin room thinking the chances of the 2nd coin being either state would be different than 50%.
One of the possibilities can be eliminated because there cannot be two females. 2/3 =~ 67%
 RE: Frog probability
April 22, 2016 at 11:39 am
(This post was last modified: April 22, 2016 at 11:42 am by ErGingerbreadMandude.)
If there were two male frogs wouldn't there have been two croaks?
I'm just saying this because if someone is going to assume a single croak equals a single male frog then isn't it reasonable to assume two croaks means two frogs? If there is only one croak then doesn't that mean there is only one male frog? So my answer is 100% Didn't watch the videos, what's it say? (April 22, 2016 at 11:07 am)Cthulhu Dreaming Wrote: One of the possibilities can be eliminated because there cannot be two females. 2/3 =~ 67% Yeah I see, you are assigning ordinal values to the two frogs: MM MF FM But this seems too virtual for me, since it doesn't matter which frog is the first or second. So I see it as: MM MF The not-calling frog, whichever one it happens to be, is either male or female. So you can put that guy in the first slot, and your left with only one frog to think about. I feel I'm wrong, but I can't accept it. 
No. A single croak only means that there is necessarily at least one male.
(April 22, 2016 at 11:42 am)Cthulhu Dreaming Wrote: No. A single croak only means that there is necessarily at least one male. Yes, that's what I'm saying. A single croak meaning a single male frog implies a double croak meaning two frogs. How do you know there were two frogs and they croaked simultaneously making it sound like a single croak? |
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