(November 14, 2018 at 2:57 pm)Tiberius Wrote: As with last year there appear to be three groups of people in the overall standings.

The top tier: Rubber Ducky, WHEELZ, Tiberius, Jörmungandr, and Crossless2.0.

The middle tier: Brian37 all on his lonesome.

The bottom tier: The Gentleman Bastard and Joods.


The way I see it, this late in the season, the overall winner will likely be one of the top tier, though it's still possible (though unlikely) for Brian37 to make a comeback. For the bottom tier, it's pretty much a battle for not being last.

YEA YEA YEA ...... WELL.....WELL........

---

Tibs, the Patriots lost to the Titans. Looks like Saint  Thomas of Brady has a kink in his armor.

Picks: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...sp=sharing

Damn, but it sucks to see the spreadsheet and realize you picked the wrong team. No freakin' way the Jag-offs beat the Squealers.

STUPID PACKERS!

Yeah. I'm not liking this week already. And nobody else picked Ma'homie. It's either God or goat, I guess.

(November 16, 2018 at 9:39 am)Jörmungandr Wrote: Yeah.  I'm not liking this week already.  And nobody else picked Ma'homie.  It's either God or goat, I guess.

I would have picked the Chiefs if the game were in Mexico but I think HFA gives the edge to the Rams.

(November 16, 2018 at 10:19 am)Tiberius Wrote:

(November 16, 2018 at 9:39 am)Jörmungandr Wrote: Yeah.  I'm not liking this week already.  And nobody else picked Ma'homie.  It's either God or goat, I guess.

I would have picked the Chiefs if the game were in Mexico but I think HFA gives the edge to the Rams.

That means the Rams will pay for the wall?

(November 16, 2018 at 10:19 am)Tiberius Wrote:

(November 16, 2018 at 9:39 am)Jörmungandr Wrote: Yeah.  I'm not liking this week already.  And nobody else picked Ma'homie.  It's either God or goat, I guess.

I would have picked the Chiefs if the game were in Mexico but I think HFA gives the edge to the Rams.

I hadn't thought of that. I should give more of an edge to HFA, but I don't. But looking at 2017, the Rams were 3-5 at home, so I'm not sure it's such a big deal here.

If you look at the Home vs Away picks column that I added to the spreadsheet you’ll see that HFA is a factor. Possibly a minor one but when you have two pretty equal teams like the Chiefs and the Rams it might be the difference maker.

However I think the main factor here will be the offense vs defense. The Rams and Chiefs are #1 and #2 in offense respectively. There’s not much separating them there. However the Chiefs are 31st overall I’m defense while the Rams are 23rd. That’s a big enough separation that combined with HFA it might make the difference.

I think it’s gonna be a close game though, tbh.

Looking at the past year, the major tilts towards the home team occurred earlier in the season. The last month the home field advantage has been decidedly less important.

Anyhoo. I tend to be less about the stats. I just see the Rams as a step down from last year, despite their record, and especially given the difficulty they had with Green Bay.