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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 6, 2023 at 8:36 am
(November 5, 2023 at 6:01 pm)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: (November 5, 2023 at 4:42 pm)ShinyCrystals Wrote: Does anyone think Trump might have a chance of winning next year's election?
Perhaps. A lot happens in a year.
NYT-Sienna poll suggests a clear path to victory for the cheeto in swing states. I am not surprised my countrymen are so bleakly dumb.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 6, 2023 at 10:31 am
(November 6, 2023 at 8:36 am)Nanny Wrote: (November 5, 2023 at 6:01 pm)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: Perhaps. A lot happens in a year.
NYT-Sienna poll suggests a clear path to victory for the cheeto in swing states. I am not surprised my countrymen are so bleakly dumb.
Yeah, but don’t polls not have that many vote on them compared to elections?
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 6, 2023 at 10:42 am
(This post was last modified: November 6, 2023 at 10:43 am by Nanny.
Edit Reason: link to FiveThirtyEight
)
(November 6, 2023 at 10:31 am)ShinyCrystals Wrote: (November 6, 2023 at 8:36 am)Nanny Wrote: NYT-Sienna poll suggests a clear path to victory for the cheeto in swing states. I am not surprised my countrymen are so bleakly dumb.
Yeah, but don’t polls not have that many vote on them compared to elections?
Supposedly there are statistical controls for the sampling they use, which are typically expressed in confidence level/ error margin. Nobody has ever polled me, and I haven't worked on the other end of polls, so YMMV.
FiveThirtyEight does meta analysis - a poll of polls - for their products. I haven't been following their data though. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 11:01 am
Didn't Republicans shoot themselves in the foot by taking down Roe v Wade and leaving it to the individual states to decide about abortion because now voting for Republicans means automatically voting against abortion care? It seems now that they can hardly win anywhere because most people don't want to lose abortion rights although they may agree with some of their other policies.
teachings of the Bible are so muddled and self-contradictory that it was possible for Christians to happily burn heretics alive for five long centuries. It was even possible for the most venerated patriarchs of the Church, like St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas, to conclude that heretics should be tortured (Augustine) or killed outright (Aquinas). Martin Luther and John Calvin advocated the wholesale murder of heretics, apostates, Jews, and witches. - Sam Harris, "Letter To A Christian Nation"
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 12:51 pm
(November 8, 2023 at 11:01 am)Fake Messiah Wrote: Didn't Republicans shoot themselves in the foot by taking down Roe v Wade and leaving it to the individual states to decide about abortion because now voting for Republicans means automatically voting against abortion care? It seems now that they can hardly win anywhere because most people don't want to lose abortion rights although they may agree with some of their other policies.
I suspect that with Johnson as SotH, Republicans will try to push for a Federal restriction to 6 weeks, no exceptions, etc. It may get out of the House, but it won't get past the Senate.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 2:15 pm
(November 8, 2023 at 12:51 pm)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: (November 8, 2023 at 11:01 am)Fake Messiah Wrote: Didn't Republicans shoot themselves in the foot by taking down Roe v Wade and leaving it to the individual states to decide about abortion because now voting for Republicans means automatically voting against abortion care? It seems now that they can hardly win anywhere because most people don't want to lose abortion rights although they may agree with some of their other policies.
I suspect that with Johnson as SotH, Republicans will try to push for a Federal restriction to 6 weeks, no exceptions, etc. It may get out of the House, but it won't get past the Senate.
I'm gonna go out on a limb and assert that none of the GOP agenda is going to pass the Senate with a veto-proof majority. This is effectively a lame duck House.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 2:56 pm
(November 8, 2023 at 11:01 am)Fake Messiah Wrote: Didn't Republicans shoot themselves in the foot by taking down Roe v Wade and leaving it to the individual states to decide about abortion because now voting for Republicans means automatically voting against abortion care? It seems now that they can hardly win anywhere because most people don't want to lose abortion rights although they may agree with some of their other policies. I hope that's true. Plenty of Republican voters, particularly women and mothers, who never thought Roe would be overturned may have qualms about the societal consequences of the decision.
(November 6, 2023 at 10:42 am)Nanny Wrote: FiveThirtyEight does meta analysis After what happened in 2016, anyone who would lend credence to 538's methods deserves ridicule.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 3:12 pm
(November 3, 2023 at 7:35 pm)LinuxGal Wrote: (November 3, 2023 at 1:14 pm)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: Marjorie Taylor Greene, US Representative and low-functioning lunatic, had to be informed - on the floor of the House and in front of people - that Robert E. Lee was not one of the Founding Fathers.
Easy to make that mistake. He had slaves and a Virginia estate just like one of the Founding Fathers.
In fact all thirteen of the Virginia founding fathers were slaveholders. And in fact two of them were brothers from the Lee family, by my eyeballing of the bad Wikipedia family three, 1st cousins, thrice removed from Robert Lee.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 3:14 pm
(November 5, 2023 at 3:57 pm)Fake Messiah Wrote: Mike Johnson promotes a Christian app called “Covenant Eyes” which “scans your devices” and “sends a report” to someone if you view and have “sinful” material. The app says “defeat porn.”
Little Mickey is promoting the app that failed to stop Josh Duggar from looking at child porn. His family put it on all his electronic devices when the peelers were beginning to get suspicious about him.
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RE: The Absurd GOP
November 8, 2023 at 3:16 pm
I feel like my family needs some name changes...just 'cause. That side was from the south after all. My great grandmother (who I was named after) had the middle name Lee. My grandfather (her son) had the middle name Lee. My mother's middle name is Lee. My sister and I - both have Lee for a middle name. It stopped with the next generation. Whatchagonnado? Perhaps more imagination should have been used in the naming process.
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