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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

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The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
robvalue Offline
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#44
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 12, 2016 at 4:18 am (This post was last modified: March 12, 2016 at 4:31 am by robvalue.)
Oh yeah. I got suckered by this one first time.

Considering maths is my forte, I felt pretty embarressed.

The important part is the game show host knows where the goat is. He's not randomly revealing information.

Probability remaining door has the car = probability either of the two doors you didn't chose had the car = 2/3

Probability your door has the car = probability you chose right initially = 1/3

The guy opening the door is a kind of misdirection. By switching you're basically choosing doors 2 and 3.
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Atheist Forums › Science › Mathematics v
The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem

Messages In This Thread
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 7:53 pm
RE: Probability? - by Excited Penguin - March 8, 2016 at 7:56 pm
RE: Probability? - by TheRealJoeFish - March 8, 2016 at 8:06 pm
RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem - by robvalue - March 12, 2016 at 4:18 am

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