RE: The role of probability in solving the Monty Hall problem
March 13, 2016 at 9:25 am
(This post was last modified: March 13, 2016 at 9:26 am by robvalue.)
OK. I'll give it one last try. I'm still not convinced you guys aren't messing with us.
Let's start at the beginning. The host can put the car wherever he wants. Behind any of the 3 doors, I don't care.
I decide randomly which door I'll pick first. Say I roll a dice. 1-2 I pick door 1, 3-4 I pick door 2, 5-6 I pick door 3.
Do you agree that I have a 1/3 chance of initially picking the right door?
Let's start at the beginning. The host can put the car wherever he wants. Behind any of the 3 doors, I don't care.
I decide randomly which door I'll pick first. Say I roll a dice. 1-2 I pick door 1, 3-4 I pick door 2, 5-6 I pick door 3.
Do you agree that I have a 1/3 chance of initially picking the right door?
Feel free to send me a private message.
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